IBC-Carbon Project Publications

Modelling forest growth, carbon sequestration and radiative forcing

• Härkönen, S., Neumann, M., Mues, V., Berninger, F.,.. & Mäkelä, A. 2019: A climate-sensitive forest model for assessing impacts of forest management in Europe. Environmental Modelling & Software. 115: 128-143.
• Akujärvi, A., Shvidenko, A. & Pietsch, S.A. 2019: Modelling the impacts of intensifying forest management on carbon budget across a long latitudinal gradient in Europe. Environmental Research Letters 14 (3). (13 pp).
• Minunno, F., Peltoniemi, M., Härkönen, S., Kalliokoski, T., Mäkinen, H., Mäkelä, A. 2019: Bayesian calibration of a carbon balance model PREBAS using data from permanent growth experiments and national forest inventory. Forest Ecology and Management 440: 208-257.

Biodiversity modelling and conservation

• Virkkala, R., Leikola, N., Kujala, H., Kivinen, S., Hurskainen, P., Kuusela, S., Valkama, J. & Heikkinen, R. K. 2021. Developing fine-grained nationwide predictions of valuable forests using biodiversity indicator bird species. Ecological Applications, in press.
• Heikkinen, R.K., Kartano, L., Leikola, N., Aalto, J., Aapala, K., Kuusela, S. & Virkkala, R. 2021: High-latitude EU Habitats Directive species at risk due to climate change and land use. Global Ecology and Conservation 28, e01664. 
• Lehikoinen, P., Tiusanen, M., Santangeli, A., Rajasärkkä, A., Jaatinen, K., Valkama, J., Virkkala, R. & Lehikoinen, A. 2021: Increasing protected area coverage mitigates climate-driven community changes. Biological Conservation 253, 108892.
• Muscatello, A., Elith, J. & Kujala, H. 2020: How decisions about fitting species distribution models affect conservation outcomes. Conservation Biology. 
• Björklund, H., Parkkinen, A., Hakkari, T., Heikkinen, R. K., Virkkala, R. & Lensu A. 2020: Predicting valuable forest habitats using an indicator species for biodiversity. Biological Conservation 249, 108682.
• Heikkinen, R. K., Leikola, N., Aalto, J., Aapala, K., Kuusela, S., Luoto, M. & Virkkala, R. 2020: Fine-grained climate velocities reveal vulnerability of protected areas to climate change. Scientific Reports 10, 1678.
• Virkkala, R., Aalto, J., Heikkinen, R., Rajasärkkä, A., Kuusela, S., Leikola, N. & Luoto, M. 2020: Can Topographic Variation in Climate Buffer against Climate Change-Induced Population Declines in Northern Forest Birds? Diversity 12, 56.
• Mikkonen, N., Leikola, N., Halme, P., Heinaro, E., Lahtinen, A. & Tanhuanpää, T. 2020: Modeling of dead wood potential based on tree stand data. Forests 11(9): 913. 
• Virkkala, R., Lehikoinen, A. & Rajasärkkä, A.2020: Can protected areas buffer short-term population changes of resident bird species in a period of intensified forest harvesting? Biological Conservation 244: 108526.
• Virkkala R., Heikkinen R.K., Kuusela S., Leikola N. & Pöyry J. 2019: Significance of Protected Area Network in Preserving Biodiversity in a Changing Northern European Climate. – In: Leal Filho W., Barbir J., Preziosi R. (eds.) Handbook of Climate Change and Biodiversity, p. 377-390. Climate Change Management. Springer, Cham.
• Roberge, J.-M., Virkkala, R. & Mönkkönen, M. 2018: Boreal forest bird assemblages and their conservation. – In: Mikusiński , G., Roberge , J.-M. & Fuller, R. (eds.), Ecology and Conservation of Forest Birds, p. 183-230. Cambridge, Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK. ISBN 978-1-107-07213-8
• Lehikoinen, A. & Virkkala, R. 2018: Population trends and conservation status of forest birds. – In: Mikusiński , G., Roberge , J.-M. & Fuller, R. (eds.), Ecology and Conservation of Forest Birds, p. 389-416. Cambridge, Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK. ISBN 978-1-107-07213-8
• Virkkala, R., Rajasärkkä, A., Heikkinen, R.K., Kuusela, S., Leikola, N. & Pöyry, J. 2018: Birds in boreal protected areas shift northwards in the warming climate but show different rates of population decline. – Biological Conservation 226: 271-279.

Forest catchment ecosystem services and sustainability indicators

• Holmberg, M., Aalto, T., Akujärvi, A., Arslan, A.N., Bergström, I., Böttcher, K., Lahtinen, I., Mäkelä, A., Markkanen, T., Minunno, F., Peltoniemi, M., Rankinen, K., Vihervaara, P. & Forsius, M. 2019: Ecosystem services related to carbon cycling – modelling present and future impacts in boreal forests. Frontiers in Plant Science 10: 343.
• Holmberg, M., Aherne, J., Austnes, K., Beloica, J., De Marco, A., Dirnböck, T., Fornasier, M.F., Goergen, K., Futter, M., Lindroos, A.J., Krám, P., Neirynck, J., Nieminen, T.M., Pecka, T., Posch, M., Rowe, E.C., Scheuschner, T., Schlutow, A., Valinia, S., Forsius, M. 2018: Modelling study of soil C, N and pH response to air pollution and climate change using European LTER site observations. Science of the Total Environment 640-641: 387-399.

Improved Earth Observation techniques

• Mäyrä, J., Keski-Saari, S., Kivinen, S., Tanhuanpää, T., Hurskainen, P., Kullberg, P., Poikolainen, L., Viinikka, A., Tuominen, S., Kumpula, T. & Vihervaara, P. 2021: Tree species classification from airborne hyperspectral and LiDAR data using 3D convolutional neural networks. Remote Sensing of Environment 256.
• Viinikka, A., Hurskainen, P., Keski-Saari, S., Kivinen, S., Tanhuanpää, T., Mäyrä, J., Poikolainen, L., Vihervaara, P., Kumpula, T. 2020: Detecting European Aspen (Populus tremula L.) in Boreal Forests Using Airborne Hyperspectral and Airborne Laser Scanning Data. Remote Senings, 12, 2610.
• Kivinen, S., Koivisto, E., Keski-Saari, S., Poikolainen, L., Tanhuanpää, T., Kuzmin, A., Viinikka, A., Heikkinen, R.K., Pykälä. J., Virkkala. R., Vihervaara, P. & Kumpula, T. 2020: A keystone species, European aspen (Populus tremula L.), in boreal forests: Ecological role, knowledge needs and mapping using remote sensing. Forest Ecology and Management 462, 118008.
• Tanhuanpää, T., Yu, X., Luoma, V., Saarinen, N., Raisio, J., Hyyppä, J., Kumpula, T. & Holopainen, M. 2019: Effect of canopy structure on the performance of tree mapping methods in urban parks. Urban Forestry & Urban Greening. Volume 44, 126441.
• Mononen, L., Auvinen, A. P., Packalen, P., Virkkala, R., Valbuena, R., Bohlin, I., ... & Vihervaara, P. 2018: Usability of citizen science observations together with airborne laser scanning data in determining the habitat preferences of forest birds. Forest Ecology and Management, 430, 498-508.
• Navarro, L.M.,…Vihervaara, P. et al. 2017: Monitoring biodiversity change through effective global coordination. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 29: 158-169.

Integrated adaptive conservation and land-use planning for sustainable forestry

• Forsius, M., Kujala, H., Minunno, F., Holmberg, M., Leikola, N., Mikkonen, N., Autio, I., Paunu, V.-V., Tanhuanpää, T., Hurskainen, P., Mäyrä, J., Kivinen, S., Keski-Saari, S., Kosenius, A.-K., Kuusela, S., Virkkala, R., Viinikka, A., Vihervaara, P., Akujärvi, A., Bäck, J., Karvosenoja, N., Kumpula, T., Kuzmin, A., Mäkelä, A., Moilanen, A., Ollikainen, M., Pekkonen, M., Peltoniemi, M., Poikolainen, L., Rankinen, K., Rasilo, T., Tuominen, S., Valkama, J., Vanhala, P. & Heikkinen, R.K. 2021: Developing a spatially explicit modelling and evaluation framework for integrated carbon sequestration and biodiversity conservation: Application in southern Finland. Science of The Total Environment, 775, 145847.
• Hallam, C.D., Wintle, B.A., Kujala, H., Whitehead, A.L. & Nicholson, E. 2020: Measuring impacts on species with models and metrics of varying ecological and computational complexity. Conservation Biology34 (6): 1512-1524.

Principles and quidelines for biodiversity offsetting and identification of suitable forest areas 

• Kangas, J., Kullberg, P., Pekkonen, M., Kotiaho, J.S., Ollikainen, M. 2021. Precision, Applicability, and Economic Implications: A Comparison of Alternative Biodiversity Offset Indexes. Environmental Management, 68, 170–183. 
• Marshall, E., Valavi, R., O’ Connor, L., Cadenhead, N., Southwell, D., Wintle, B.A. & Kujala, H. 2020: Quantifying the impact of vegetation‐based metrics on species persistence when choosing offsets for habitat destruction. Conservation Biology.
• Marshall, E., Wintle, B.A., Southwell, D. & Kujala, H. 2020: What are we measuring? A review of metrics used to describe biodiversity in offsets exchanges. Biological Conservation, 241, 108250.
• Moilanen, A. & Kotiaho, J.S. 2020: Three ways to deliver a net positive impact with biodiversity offsets. Conservation Biology, online early. 
• Moilanen, A., Kujala, H. & Mikkonen, N. 2020: A practical method for evaluating spatial biodiversity offset scenarios based on spatial conservation prioritization outputs. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 00 :1-10.
• Moilanen, A. & Kotiaho, J.S. 2018: Planning biodiversity offsets: Twelve operationally important decisions. TemaNord 2018: 513. (72 pp.)
• Peterson, I., Maron, M., Moilanen, A., Bekessy, S. & Gordon, A. 2018: A quantitative framework for evaluating the impact of biodiversity offset policies. Biological Conservation 224, 162-169.
• Moilanen, A. & Kotiaho,  J.S. 2018: Fifteen operationally important decisions in the planning of biodiversity offsets. Biological Conservation 227: 112–120.